Stephen A. Smith got on his soapbox this week, as he often does, and laid out his case for Luka Doncic to snatch the MVP trophy. And you know what? He’s not wrong. Not even a little bit. It’s easy to dismiss Stephen A. as a talking head, but sometimes the guy just hits it square. This is one of those times.
Doncic isn't just putting up numbers; he's carrying the Dallas Mavericks on his back, night after night, in a way few others in the league are right now. The Mavs sit at 45-29 as of March 29th, battling for playoff positioning in a stacked Western Conference. A lot of that success, maybe most of it, falls squarely on Luka's shoulders.
Look at the raw output: Doncic is averaging a staggering 34.0 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 9.8 assists per game. Those aren't just MVP numbers; they're historic. He's on pace to become only the second player in NBA history, after Oscar Robertson, to average 30+ points, 9+ rebounds, and 9+ assists for a season. And Robertson did it in 1961-62, a completely different era of basketball. That alone should put him at the top of the conversation.
Think about the March 29th game against the Sacramento Kings. Doncic dropped 26 points, 12 assists, and 9 rebounds, helping the Mavs secure a crucial 107-103 road win. Just two nights before, on March 27th, he torched the Utah Jazz for 29 points, 12 rebounds, and 13 assists in a 115-105 victory. These aren't isolated explosions; this is his standard operating procedure. He's putting up triple-double threats every time he steps on the floor.
Thing is, the Mavericks' roster, outside of Kyrie Irving, isn't exactly brimming with All-Stars. They've got solid role players like Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington, but take Luka out of that lineup and they're a lottery team. Plain and simple. The team's offensive rating with Doncic on the court is 122.9, but it plummets to 109.1 when he sits. That's a 13.8-point swing. That’s the definition of value.
Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are having fantastic seasons, absolutely. Jokic's efficiency is ridiculous, and SGA has led the Thunder to unexpected heights. But neither of them is carrying the same load, the same sheer weight of expectation and creation, that Doncic is for Dallas. Jokic has Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., and Aaron Gordon. SGA has Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams, both excellent young talents. Doncic’s supporting cast is good, but it’s not *that* good.
And here's my hot take: if the Mavericks finish as a top-four seed in the West, which is entirely possible given their current run – they've won 10 of their last 12 games through March 29th – then Luka *has* to win MVP. No arguments. The narrative around team record often overshadows individual brilliance, but Dallas is winning, and they're winning because of him.
Stephen A. Smith might scream it from the rooftops, but the numbers back him up. Luka Doncic isn't just a candidate; he's the leading man in this MVP race. He's showing up, delivering historic performances, and dragging his team to victories against tough competition. He’s the MVP. When the awards are handed out, Doncic will be holding that trophy.